Will GM Replace the Chevy Volt with a Plug-in Crossover? - Hybrid Cars
http://www.hybridcars.com/will-gm-replace-the-chevy-volt-with-a-plug-in-crossover/
http://www.hybridcars.com/will-gm-replace-the-chevy-volt-with-a-plug-in-crossover/
I keep hearing thin rumors that there are at least three energy storage/battery technologies that are being tested for real world suitability with a 1-2 year timeline. I wonder if it could be related to that.The two year gap seems odd. That would imply they don't have a replacement in the works yet.
I'm betting on a "Crossvolt" (trademark applications have meaning usually - see "Bolt") that somewhat resembles......
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I just don't like KIAs and Hyundais. They, like Samsung and LG in appliances, are not the epitome of quality, but instead offer lots of flashy features for a decent price. An ex-coworker of mine tried to compare his new Hyundai Sonata feature by feature to his dad's Mercedes. 5 years later, his Sonata is falling apart and trashed, but the Mercedes interior looks and works as new. I guess he could have purchased 2 Sonatas for the price of the Mercedes, but still, you get what you pay for.I like the KIA/Hyundai platform concept they are using on the Niro/Ioniq. With a single platform they'll have a hybrid, PHEV, and EV. GM should consider that sort of strategy for a cross over to achieve platform economies of scale during this phase when volumes of PHEV and EVs are modest. Also, to my eye, the Niro looks better than the Bolt.
In the case of the Volt, you get MORE than you pay for.I just don't like KIAs and Hyundais. They, like Samsung and LG in appliances, are not the epitome of quality, but instead offer lots of flashy features for a decent price. An ex-coworker of mine tried to compare his new Hyundai Sonata feature by feature to his dad's Mercedes. 5 years later, his Sonata is falling apart and trashed, but the Mercedes interior looks and works as new. I guess he could have purchased 2 Sonatas for the price of the Mercedes, but still, you get what you pay for.
Especially with my new volt where I paid less than half MSRP. At MSRP I was resigned to never own one as IMHO, the volt wasn't worth $44KIn the case of the Volt, you get MORE than you pay for.![]()
And hopefully someone will have a 400 mile range vehicle that recharges almost instantly. Or better yet, they perfect Mr. fusion.Bottom line, the Volt will go out of existence after this model run- 2016-2020. Five years for each Gen. Gen1 was proof of concept. Gen 2 was to get the development money amortized. Question now is the Voltec drive-train usable beyond 2020? Probably not. The next Voltec (?) drive-train will be an evolution but not share anything with the current system. By 2020 there will be no need for hybrid cars- they will be electric only. Hybrids will only be needed for commercial vehicles. Next big thing will be solid state batteries. I really doubt the Volt will really make it to 2020. 2018 will probably be the last viable year for the car. Beyond that will be holdovers from 2018. I also think the Prius will expire by 2020. So the Volt will not be alone.
Where would the batteries come from? To supply the entire car manufacturing industry with traction batteries will take the equivalent of dozens of Gigafactories. So far as I can tell, there is only one - the one Elon is building.Bottom line, the Volt will go out of existence after this model run- 2016-2020. Five years for each Gen. Gen1 was proof of concept. Gen 2 was to get the development money amortized. Question now is the Voltec drive-train usable beyond 2020? Probably not. The next Voltec (?) drive-train will be an evolution but not share anything with the current system. By 2020 there will be no need for hybrid cars- they will be electric only. Hybrids will only be needed for commercial vehicles. Next big thing will be solid state batteries. I really doubt the Volt will really make it to 2020. 2018 will probably be the last viable year for the car. Beyond that will be holdovers from 2018. I also think the Prius will expire by 2020. So the Volt will not be alone.
When, in the past 30-some years, has there NOT been three energy storage technologies "in testing and ready real soon now"? Do we have 90 different storage technologies, each better than the last? Nope. We got about a dozen, three-quarters of which spent at least two decades getting to the point of usable.I keep hearing thin rumors that there are at least three energy storage/battery technologies that are being tested for real world suitability with a 1-2 year timeline. I wonder if it could be related to that.
I agree with the premise but I think your timeframe is too aggressive - I would think the PHEV market is good to about 2025 probably. The electric charging infrastructure is not there to have charging occur fast enough like gas so the adoption to EV will take time. That is why places like the UK are stating 2040 for the end of ICE vehicle sales. If anything I think the PHEV market will grow over the next 3-5 years as a good stepping stone for mass public to "try" EV. I think GM will stick with the Volt for a Gen 3 - but the Gen 3 Volt will be redesigned as a crossover - which is great! Gen 3 may be the last for the PHEV Volt but I think we're 5-8 years away from the PHEV market going away - it will expand before contracting. And that of course all depends if the Tesla does not screw up the Model 3 launch - if they botch the launch with poor quality /recalls or a cost that is closer to $50K with needed accessories, then the EV awareness/adoption will slow down. 2018-2020 is the rise of the EV options but adoption will take a while since anyone who can't afford two cars will hesitate to buy EV until you can drive to a EV "gas" station and get a charge in 5-10 mins.Bottom line, the Volt will go out of existence after this model run- 2016-2020. Five years for each Gen. Gen1 was proof of concept. Gen 2 was to get the development money amortized. Question now is the Voltec drive-train usable beyond 2020? Probably not. The next Voltec (?) drive-train will be an evolution but not share anything with the current system. By 2020 there will be no need for hybrid cars- they will be electric only. Hybrids will only be needed for commercial vehicles. Next big thing will be solid state batteries. I really doubt the Volt will really make it to 2020. 2018 will probably be the last viable year for the car. Beyond that will be holdovers from 2018. I also think the Prius will expire by 2020. So the Volt will not be alone.
Auto makers often introduce certain models early, but never late! Chevy wouldn't want to be in January 2018 with the current Volt model still a 2017. Ain't gonna happen. So we should see the 2018 Volt in the Fall.Well, GM could pull a "Volt gen2 2017" trick - they released the 2016 model in Summer of 2015, then released the 2017 model in Feb 2016. This 2017 model has been around for well over a year and just as we expect 2018 models to arrive in Aug/Sept, maybe they will come, maybe not.