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Toyota introduces advanced FCV.

21529 Views 86 Replies 20 Participants Last post by  MarcDannenberg
Toyota introduces advanced FCV:

Link

Please forgive the author's ignorance of hybrid vehicles. The author tries to compare a parallel hybrid to a fuel cell vehicle, and totally botches it. It's best to stick to the first couple paragraphs.

The race for fuel cell vehicles is on.
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Jeremy,

Same old tired argument. Rapid refill, and cheaper upfront costs will trump abstract efficienty numbers everytime. Batteries are currently far too expensive and take too long to recharge.
Jeremy,

Same old tired argument. Rapid refill, and cheaper upfront costs will trump abstract efficienty numbers everytime. Batteries are currently far too expensive and take too long to recharge.
I'm with Texas on this one (I can't believe I wrote that!), you make claims about fuel cell cost, but show no credible reference to support it. Even if you are correct and fuel cells for vehicles are 3-4X more than an ICE (does that include the cost of the high-pressure tanks?), are you really going to spend that much money on a power source you rarely use in a FC-PHEV? Economically it would make more sense to run a hydrogen ICE like the one BMW built.
I'm with Texas on this one (I can't believe I wrote that!), you make claims about fuel cell cost, but show no credible reference to support it.
I believe that I linked to the article that stated the current fuel cell from GM only cost 3X to 4X the cost of an ICE in one of my posts on this site, so perhaps that will narrow your search.

Even if you are correct and fuel cells for vehicles are 3-4X more than an ICE (does that include the cost of the high-pressure tanks?), are you really going to spend that much money on a power source you rarely use in a FC-PHEV?
A fuel cell is more efficient than a hydrogen ICE, but more importantly, a fuel cell is silent. Initially, GM targeted their fuel cells for Cadillacs, but to save development time, they are introducing them in the Volt body style. That said, some will still prefer, and should have the option for a hydrogen ICE.

Economically it would make more sense to run a hydrogen ICE like the one BMW built.
It would be interesting to see what the economics are. A hydrogen ICE would only be 1/2 as cheap, while the fuel efficiency is probably only 1/2 that of a fuel cell, so I suspect the cross-over point would be much sooner than in the calc between fuel cells and batteries.

As companies are offering all these options, we will get to see which approach wins out in the end. I am still pulling for the Air Car to make significant penetration in the small / cheap car market.
I believe that I linked to the article that stated the current fuel cell from GM only cost 3X to 4X the cost of an ICE in one of my posts on this site, so perhaps that will narrow your search.



A fuel cell is more efficient than a hydrogen ICE, but more importantly, a fuel cell is silent. Initially, GM targeted their fuel cells for Cadillacs, but to save development time, they are introducing them in the Volt body style. That said, some will still prefer, and should have the option for a hydrogen ICE.



It would be interesting to see what the economics are. A hydrogen ICE would only be 1/2 as cheap, while the fuel efficiency is probably only 1/2 that of a fuel cell, so I suspect the cross-over point would be much sooner than in the calc between fuel cells and batteries.

As companies are offering all these options, we will get to see which approach wins out in the end. I am still pulling for the Air Car to make significant penetration in the small / cheap car market.
If you run across the link again, please repost.

The other advantage of the hydrogen ICE in the short term is that it would run on gas as well, so it would be a more viable alternative with limited hydrogen availability.

http://www.bmwusa.com/Standard/Cont...=t0eBkkksaeOlO9zOt8gzADZCvgwlYpsTNlAXDAkk1+s=
If you run across the link again, please repost.

The other advantage of the hydrogen ICE in the short term is that it would run on gas as well, so it would be a more viable alternative with limited hydrogen availability.

http://www.bmwusa.com/Standard/Cont...=t0eBkkksaeOlO9zOt8gzADZCvgwlYpsTNlAXDAkk1+s=
Yes, I do believe that there is a market for the hydrogen ICE, and it has some attractive features. Cold start is very important in very cold climates, and hydrogen is already a gas, so there is no concern over the need to atomize the fuel to start the engine in cold temperatures.
In my opinion, batteries will win out in the short term as costs of production drop significantly with scale. Hydrogen has two main drawbacks and one key advantage over batteries

1. Chicken and egg with refueling stations
2. Storage

BUT much better for quick refilling which is crucial for long distance travel.

My bet is that with the rate of advancement in battery technology and the potential for ultra capacitors etc in the near future, hydrogen will never take off. In the end, hydrogen is only a storage medium for electricity, which batteries are much better at in terms of efficiency (generator to wheel efficiency).

The one thing I think we have learnt over the last couple of decades is one can't predict what impact technological advances will have on the rapid development of seemingly unrelated fields (e.g. exponential growth in computer processing power and the human genome project, the latter of which would never have been completed if the former hadn't happened).
SHEC Labs

Hey Joe, Thanks again for speaking with me.
Just to clarify, I´m NOT from SHEC Labs, I work with them for the past 5 years, raising funds and getting prepared to get some projects started here in Europe.
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