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Gotta pay the Model 3 bills! With other people's money.
In a truly free market economy, if you want to judge viability (going concern) of a company, just look at their stock price. People don't talk out of their ass when real money is on the line. Everything else is just that - talk.Tesla has been operating on OPM since the IPO. I don't think that's a big issue. What is an issue is that they have to keep returning to the capital markets to stay afloat, which belies the notion that they are a viable operation.
Yes, GM will go bankrupt again soon. Profits are highly overrated when it comes to business operations.In a truly free market economy, if you want to judge viability (going concern) of a company, just look at their stock price. People don't talk out of their ass when real money is on the line. Everything else is just that - talk.
Inflation of the stock price is one of the things that has helped Tesla continue to dip into capital markets. This is not a strategy that can continue indefinitely. Tell us now why they didn't just offer more stock and convertible bonds, but rather had to issue junk debt. I'm always into learning new things.In a truly free market economy, if you want to judge viability (going concern) of a company, just look at their stock price. People don't talk out of their ass when real money is on the line. Everything else is just that - talk.
I asked a person who knows far more than I do about these things why tech companies who continually operate in the red have such high valuations. She told me it's about "aquisition potential". I understand Musk tried to sell Tesla in 2013 to Google's Larry Page.Yes, GM will go bankrupt again soon. Profits are highly overrated when it comes to business operations.
EDIT - Seriously:
Tesla proves they can produce Model 3's as a retail product, on time, and over specifications. Stock tumbles on the news.
Tesla proves they still cannot make money selling Model S/X automobiles, and lost another $2 a share and need more cash influx. Stock shoots upwards.
I'll start by saying I don't own a Tesla EV or Solar or any stocks, never had.Inflation of the stock price is one of the things that has helped Tesla continue to dip into capital markets. This is not a strategy that can continue indefinitely. Tell us now why they didn't just offer more stock and convertible bonds, but rather had to issue junk debt. I'm always into learning new things.
I see, well I'm curious why the last 2 rounds (after the IPO) of debt and equity selling were in stock and convertible bonds. Why didn't they just start issuing junk bonds?I'll start by saying I don't own a Tesla EV or Solar or any stocks, never had.
With access to "deep" capital market, it makes sense to raise operating cash from the lowest financing cost option. In this case - bond.
An analogy to an average person, say I want to borrow cash to start donut shop - is should I borrow from bank A, or B, or C, or sell partial ownership of the donut shop, borrow from my 401k, withdraw from my retirement early, or charge the cost on a credit card. Each borrowing option has it's cost and other non-monitary factors to consider.
You asked why don't they just issue more stock - it's like you asking me why don't I just put it on the credit card - probably because it doesn't make sense since it might cost me more in the long run? Many reasons why a rational person wouldn't choose that route. No big conspiracy here, just common sense.
Just the term Junk Bonds makes me think they're getting desperate for cash. So if they cannot raise $1.5B, does that mean no model 3s will be delivered?I see, well I'm curious why the last 2 rounds (after the IPO) of debt and equity selling were in stock and convertible bonds. Why didn't they just start issuing junk bonds?
Either that or Absinthe Consumption. Either one are valid methods to evaluate the stock market, and both seem to work.I asked a person who knows far more than I do about these things why tech companies who continually operate in the red have such high valuations. She told me it's about "aquisition potential". I understand Musk tried to sell Tesla in 2013 to Google's Larry Page.
Right. That worked out just perfectly for Enron or, perhaps more appropriately, Boston Chicken. Or, if you want to look at it a different way, if the market is a perfect predictor of future success, why wasn't Tesla's stock price this high from Day One?In a truly free market economy, if you want to judge viability (going concern) of a company, just look at their stock price. People don't talk out of their ass when real money is on the line. Everything else is just that - talk.
The interest rate gets raised. Supply and demand at work. At some interest rate they'll raise the capital they need. I'm actually quite surprised the interest rate is that low but since I don't invest in corporate bonds, much less junk bonds, I'm hardly an expert on junk bond rates. FWIW I don't like corporate bonds because the goals of management and bond investors are diametrically opposed.So what happens if they don't get the $1.5B?? Say they only get $1.0B.
The cheapest way to raise money is with stock.With access to "deep" capital market, it makes sense to raise operating cash from the lowest financing cost option. In this case - bond.
A company doesn't issue junk bonds, it issues bonds which are poorly rated by the ratings agencies. Not sure I'd say this is desperate for cash. As mentioned, if the subscription is under subscribed the rate goes up until there are enough investors willing to lend the money.Just the term Junk Bonds makes me think they're getting desperate for cash. So if they cannot raise $1.5B, does that mean no model 3s will be delivered?
Well, actually they do...Right. That worked out just perfectly for Enron or, perhaps more appropriately, Boston Chicken. Or, if you want to look at it a different way, if the market is a perfect predictor of future success, why wasn't Tesla's stock price this high from Day One?
The interest rate gets raised. Supply and demand at work. At some interest rate they'll raise the capital they need. I'm actually quite surprised the interest rate is that low but since I don't invest in corporate bonds, much less junk bonds, I'm hardly an expert on junk bond rates. FWIW I don't like corporate bonds because the goals of management and bond investors are diametrically opposed.
The cheapest way to raise money is with stock.
A company doesn't issue junk bonds, it issues bonds which are poorly rated by the ratings agencies. Not sure I'd say this is desperate for cash. As mentioned, if the subscription is under subscribed the rate goes up until there are enough investors willing to lend the money.