Tires are the single largest change you'll notice.
It's made worse as the tires get more efficient as they wear (but also less sticky = less safe...)
And then you jump right into a brand new set, which even if identical model, will drop your range quite a bit and won't return to the same level until those tires are also worn the same way.
People who don't get the same OEM tires have reported 10%+ drop in range, which is well above any level of cell capacity degradation anyone may apparently be experiencing after 5 years.
Add in the changing of the seasons, tire pressure, weather, and it really gets complicated.
But to date, no one has shown (with reliable facts to support it) a battery that has had capacity degraded.
There have been cell failures and electronics failures, but no real loss due to age.