Thanks for the link, but I'm curious how many Bolts people think will sell in the first month.Total United States EV sales are 133,854 for 2016. http://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/
Well, the Volt was doing about the best it had anyway. The best year was 2013 with 23,461 sales and it's been solidly around 2k per month.First month being half of December? If wanting the first full month that is January which is usually a weak car sales month:
December ~1000 depending on production not demand. (1081 is my guess.)
January ~2500 if they can pump out that many. (2576 is my guess.)
The real numbers that count are after full production and full 50-State roll out. So maybe May? I'm guessing north of 5000 and GM will be scrambling to make more. 6-7k per month worldwide. Ampera-e could be huge.
Remember, my mailman in pickup country stopped to discuss EVs. Plus, Tesla has shown that there is high demand. I'm thinking it won't matter what Trump/EPA does near term. People want EVs.
Because of Prime and Bolt, I predict that Volt sales will hit new records. These cars validate Volt design.
Prime was a partial month and inventory's really low. I also think that the Prime is going to sell like hot cakes (used to sell, when hot cakes sold fast), with a lot of cannibalization of the Prius HEV and it'll be really good for plug-in sales overall.Unless you are Tesla, sales mean fully paid and delivered cars (Tesla was giving discounts last quarter for people fully paying for but not yet receiving their car, as I understand it).
My point is Bolt EV might not get that many sales unless a fleet customer received a bunch as many of the current customers might not get them received this month.
Prius Prime, was that for a full month? Not really that impressive of a figure, but maybe being first month it is low, very supply limited at this point. I would expect it to sell better than Volt (if it doesn't I would see it as a failure in the Prius, it is a cheaper car that is meant to sell higher numbers)
You answered my question before I asked itUnless you are Tesla, sales mean fully paid and delivered cars
You seriously underestimate the number of Toyota fanboys. Whether it's technologically inferior or not, all that matters is the badge on it. There is a very large group of buyers out there that will never know just how good the volt or bolt are, solely because it has a bowtie on it.Insideevs mentioned the difficulty in tracking Tesla sales, but they owed it to how they had to average sales over quarters.
In regards to the Prius Prime, I'm not sure if that was a full month, but it qualified for Insideevs's monthly totals. Also, I'm not sure how much of a demand there will be for the Prius Prime. Sadly, Toyota is late to the party, and we have much, much better options to choose from. Personally, I don't think the Prius Prime will even outsell the Volt.
I'm solely basing my opinion on the sales numbers for the Prius Plug-In, which averaged about 1,000 per month.You seriously underestimate the number of Toyota fanboys. Whether it's technologically inferior or not, all that matters is the badge on it. There is a very large group of buyers out there that will never know just how good the volt or bolt are, solely because it has a bowtie on it.
Even die-hard Prius fans questioned the utility of the old PIP. It was pretty much useless as a plug-in, except great for Californians to get HOV access and drive it like a normal prius (where they sold the most, by far).I'm solely basing my opinion on the sales numbers for the Prius Plug-In, which averaged about 1,000 per month.
According to that table, the Chevy Volt outsold the TM Model S for two consecutive months. I expect a third (December 2016).Total United States EV sales are 133,854 for 2016. http://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/