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A Different Tesla Model 3 EV Miles Prediction Question

3299 Views 34 Replies 16 Participants Last post by  Bacardi
I figure that this would be the best forum to ask this question, so if not, please move it.

For the longest time, I've had an issue with people comparing the Bolt EV and the Model 3. They aren't competitors. However, when it comes to pure BEVs, GM clearly beat Tesla to the average-priced car segment. That's not really a question, but to me the real question is something that has been overlooked by most people. What would GM's Model 3 competitor actually look like. Well, personally, I think we've known since 2010. That's right. GM's EV sedan with a low-slung hatchback trunk has been available at an average new-car MSRP for seven years. Yes, I believe the entry-level Model 3's true competitor is the Chevy Volt.

That being said, if Tesla can ramp up to their full production as planned, we should see roughly four times as many Tesla Model 3s on the road as Chevy Volts by the end of 2018. So, assuming Tesla does meet their production plans, what's your prediction for when the Model 3 will overtake the Volt in total EV miles driven?
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In the end, does it really matter how many cumulative miles the volt and model 3 reach? The real positive is that both the volt and Tesla model 3 probably replaced a pure ice vehicle, so it's a win for the environment, reducing our dependency of foreign oil, and one less thing contributing to tipping the scales of no return on global warming.
You mean the EV miles driven by Volts up to now? Maybe. But the Volts will continue to accumulate miles from now until 2020, and by that year the Gen 3 250+ mile Volt will be out. The TM Model 3 will be too behind to catch up. I am willing to bet $50,000 by 2030 that the Model 3 will be a failure! But you will never get to cash my bet if I lose.
I think we'll be lucky if a gen 3 comes and it had 75 miles of range. At 250 miles you almost don't need a range extender. My prediction is that there may not be a volt gen3, but the Voltec will be available in an Equinox, Cruze, Malibu, and Impala so the volt and Cruze would merge to be the same car with your choice of BEV, PHEV, or ICE drivetrain.
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