We heard GM last week officially announce it would be producing 10,000 Chevy Volts in the the first year of production, calendar year 2011. Marketing director Tony DiSalle also said Volt dealers would specifically have to retain a Volt on the premises for demonstration and test drive purposes. GM spokesperson Rob Peterson says those 3000 or so demo cars would not come from the 10,000 vehicle allotment, so in the end there will still be 10,000 to sell.
By mid 2011, the Volt will be on sale in seven out of 50 states, it will be another 6 to 12 months from then before all 50 states have them on sale.
Very clearly there is much more demand for Volts than 10,000 cars can satisfy even at a price around $40,000, which isn’t confirmed.
So this begs the question as to whether GM’s strategy to limit availability is a good idea.
Those among us, especially in less-populated states, don’t think so for personal reasons; i.e. they cannot get one. Those among us who would like to see the country begin to reduce petroleum usage as fast as possible also are unhappy as such a small volume won’t make much of a dent.
So why is GM doing this, and is it a good idea for them?
There seems to be five major reasons for this decision; to keep the car in strong demand, to allow for maximum quality builds off the production line, limitation of supplier components such as batteries, to keep a close eye on real-world behavior and to be able to react to any issues, and to minimize financial loss.
Demand
GM knows there is more demand than for 10,000 cars. By keeping demand far greater than supply, it ensures interest in the car and news about it. It also allows justification of a higher price. Plummeting prices and the need to discount the Volt wouldn’t be a good thing for GM. Also if the cars really take off GM could make positive announcements about demand exceeding supply. The presence of the Nissan LEAF will also place some pressure on the early adopter market.
Quality
The Volt utilizes the Voltec drivetrain, a large lithium-ion battery, and an array of specialized software controls. No car like it has ever been sold in the mass market before. GM knows it must produce a very high quality vehicle as the car has been under the microscope for a long time and will continue to be. Any quality failure would be very bad press. By limiting the line build rate, GM can ensure each and every Volt is built to the highest quality standards possible.
Components
The most important external component going into the Volt is its lithium-ion battery back. The cells are being made in Korea by LG Chem and shipped to the US where they are then assembled into packs at GMs battery assembly plant. Both the cell and pack assembly line are limited, with a maximum current volume believed to be for about 50,000 packs. Like the cars, these packs must be very carefully assembled to ensure high quality.
Surveillance
Once the Volts enter the public space, GM will continue to watch them closely to be able to react if any issues arise. So much so, OnStar will be especially amped up, required, and included free in the Volt allowing very precise monitoring of software controls and every cell in the packs. By keeping volumes and geographic locations restricted, GM can more carefully monitor these vehicles, and quickly issue any fixes if the need arises.
Minimize Losses
Though we do not yet know the Volt’s official MSRP, it is likely they will be initially sold as a loss. Keeping production volume low will mitigate large financial burden especially during IPO season, and still allow for eventual cost reductions over time.
So though many of us are disappointed with GM’s first year Volt volume, they have valid reasons for it. Toyota for example only built 12,000 Priuses in it first year of production, despite high demand for it in Japan at the time. It wasn’t brought into the US until later.
Nissan, though projecting large LEAF demand down the line will also only be producing about 25,000 cars for the North American market by the end of 2011. For the first several months, availability will be limited to five locations.





